Professor Whose Economic Model Predicted Trump Win in 2016 Says President Will Beat Biden

David Child News Week |

Photo by Luke Chesser on Unsplash

John Antonakis, a professor of Organisational Behaviour from Switzerland's Lausanne University, said the model's projection for 2020 put Trump ahead of Democratic challenger Joe Biden in the race for the White House. However, he cautioned the forecast—which takes into account economic conditions, incumbency effect and candidates' relative charisma levels—was presented "with humility" given the complicating "fog" produced by the coronavirus pandemic.

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